Ma'auni na BDI ya fadi zuwa ƙasa a cikin watanni 20 da suka gabata, wanda aka ja da shi ta hanyar raguwar raguwar farashin jiragen ruwa na Capesize, kasuwar busasshiyar bushewa a cikin kwata na hudu na gaba na iya zama lokacin rauni.

Ƙididdigar bushewar Baltic (BDI) ta ragu da maki 41 zuwa 1,279 a ranar 19 ga Agusta, ya ragu da kashi 3.1% a ranar, wanda ya kai matsayin mafi ƙanƙanci tun Disamba 2020. A cikin makonnin da suka gabata, saboda yanayin buƙatun ƙarfe na China, haɗe tare da tasirin yanayi mai zafi na masarar Faransa. amfanin gona, da wuce haddi iya aiki da wuya a narkar da, kwal pallet increment ne kasa isa, da kuma sauran kaya bukatar rauni, BDI index ƙare Agusta 16 hudu a jere ciniki rana saukar, duk da murmurewa kadan a ranar 17 ga Agusta, amma ya sake faduwa bayan kwana biyu. .

Daga cikin su, kasuwar jiragen ruwa ta Capesize tana fama da ƙarancin ayyukan hanyoyin hakar ma'adinai na nesa, buƙatun sufuri na ci gaba da raguwa, kuma farashin masu haya a bayyane yake, wanda ke haɓaka matsin lamba kan farashin jigilar kayayyaki na jiragen ruwa na Capesize masu jigilar tama.

Ƙididdigar jigilar jigilar kayayyaki ta Baltic Capesize ta faɗi maki 216 zuwa 867 a ranar 18 ga Agusta, ta faɗi ƙasa da 1,000 a karon farko tun daga ƙarshen Janairu, ko kashi 20 cikin ɗari a rana;Faduwar wani maki 111, ko 12.8%, zuwa 756 a ranar 19 ga Agusta, raguwar mako-mako na 42.5% ita ce mafi girma a cikin watanni takwas, kuma yawan kuɗin da ake samu na yau da kullun na Capesize ya faɗi $ 921 zuwa $ 6,267, da ƙasa da farashin $ 15,000.

A cikin kasuwar Panamax da ultramax, ko da yake bukatar kwal daga Indonesiya zuwa China ya karu kadan, karuwar shigo da kwal ya kasance mai iyaka saboda kwanciyar hankali na cikin gida a kasar Sin;Hanyoyin hatsi, yayin da ƙarin bincike kaɗan, har yanzu suna da iyaka kuma kasuwar Pacific ta kasance cikin tawayar, wanda ya haifar da farashin gauraye na Panamax da manyan jiragen ruwa masu nauyi waɗanda galibi ke jigilar kwal da hatsi.

Indexididdigar jigilar jigilar kayayyaki ta Baltic Panamax (BPI) ta fadi da maki 61, ko kuma 3.5%, zuwa 1,688 a ranar 19 ga Agusta, inda take kan raguwar mako-mako na 11.5%, mafi yawa a cikin wata guda, yayin da kudaden da ake samu na yau da kullun ya ragu da dala 550 zuwa 15,188.Baltic BSI ya tashi da maki 37 zuwa 1,735, yana tashi don zama na shida madaidaiciya kuma ya nuna mafi kyawun mako a cikin watanni biyar.

Tun daga watan Mayun wannan shekara, ma'aunin BDI yana faɗuwa gabaɗaya.Wasu masu safarar jiragen ruwa sun yi nuni da cewa, bukatun kasar Sin gaba daya ya shafi hakan, musamman ma raguwar zuba jarin da kasar Sin ke samu sakamakon yaduwar gine-ginen da ba a kammala ba.Dangane da matsalolin wutar lantarki da aka samu a kasar Sin a baya-bayan nan, tasirin da masana'antar karafa ke yi bai ragu ba, sai dai wasu abubuwa na kaikaice.

Goldman Sachs ya kiyasta cewa samar da ma'adinan ƙarfe a cikin rabin na biyu na shekara zai iya wuce tan miliyan 67, wanda hakan zai kawo koma baya ga ƙarancin da aka samu a farkon rabin shekara, kuma ya rage farashin ta na ƙarfe a cikin watanni shida masu zuwa zuwa dala 85. daga $110.

Kamar yadda kwata na huɗu yawanci shine lokacin kololuwar lokacin jigilar ma'adinan ƙarfe, Yumin Shipping yana tsammanin buƙatun jiragen ruwa na Capesize suyi rauni a lokacin kololuwa, kuma hayar yau da kullun na iya fara komawa matakin farashin farashi.Har yanzu dai ana ci gaba da ganin bin diddigin, amma ana kiyasin cewa zai yi wahala a sake maimaita kololuwar hayar da ta kai dala 60,000 zuwa dala 70,000 a lokacin kololuwar shekarar bara.

Ga kasuwannin kanana da matsakaita na jiragen ruwa, kamfanin Huiyang Shipping ya yi imanin cewa, tushen jiragen ruwa kanana da matsakaita ya bambanta, kuma jigilar kayayyaki masu yawa sun hada da gawayi, hatsi, kowane nau'in ma'adinai da siminti.Ko da akwai wasu matsi na ƙasa, raguwa ba a bayyane yake ba.Sai dai ba a bayyana kololuwar yanayin da kanana da matsakaitan jiragen ruwa ke yi a cikin rubu'i na uku na wannan shekara ba, saboda wani bangare na canjin da manyan jiragen ruwa ke yi, kuma an rage yawan kayayyakin da ake samu a kasuwa, amma abin ya ragu. har yanzu yana sama da farashi.

Duk da haka, babban kasuwa ba ya rasa labari mai kyau.Kasashen Turai da Amurka sun fara dakatar da shigo da kwal na Rasha a cikin watan Agusta kuma dole ne su shigo da kwal daga wasu kasashe masu nisa, suna taimakawa wajen tallafawa bukatu mai yawa.

Bugu da kari, binciken masana'antu ya ce a cikin 2023, sabbin ka'idojin kare muhalli guda biyu za su fara aiki a kasuwa har zuwa kashi 80% na jiragen ruwa, da inganta haɓakar kawar da tsoffin ƙarfin jigilar kayayyaki, yayin da yawancin umarni na hannu suka kasance. ƙarancin tarihi, umarni na hannu na yanzu yana da kashi 6.57% na jiragen ruwa da ake da su, yayin da shekarun jirgin na yanzu sama da shekaru 20 na masu ɗaukar kaya ya kai kusan 7.64%.Don haka, ba a yanke hukuncin cewa gibin samar da jigilar kayayyaki zai ci gaba da fadada bayan shekara mai zuwa.An yi imani da yawa a cikin masana'antar cewa 2023 har yanzu shekara ce mai lafiya don samarwa da tsarin buƙatun dillalan dillalai.