Kwanan nan, nau'in baƙar fata na gaba da aka haifar da haɓaka gabaɗaya, gami da farashin ƙarfe na gaba ya zama sananne.Ranar 20 ga Fabrairu, babban kwangilar baƙin ƙarfe ya kai yuan / ton 917, kwana ɗaya ya karu da kashi 3.21%.
An fahimci cewa, tun daga ranar 14 ga Fabrairu, farashin ma'adinan ƙarfe na gaba daga yuan 835 ya tashi daga yuan/ton kuma ya karya darajar yuan 900, kwanakin ciniki 6 ya haura sama da 8%, sabon darajar fiye da watanni 9.
Qiu Yihong, wani manazarci a Haitong Futures, ya shaidawa jaridar China Times cewa: “Makarfe ita ce ta fi yin fice a wajen gangamin tsakiyar watan Fabrairu, kuma shi kadai ne a rukunin baki da ya samu wani sabon matsayi a ranar 30 ga watan Janairu. wannan zagaye na gaba da za a yi sabon matsayi ba wai kawai haɓaka buƙatu ba ne a ƙarƙashin ingantaccen ci gaban macro ba, har ma yana da alaƙa da hauhawar farashin ƙarfe na ƙarfe na gaba.
Fabrairu 21 karfe 15, babban kwangilar baƙin ƙarfe zai rufe akan yuan / ton 919.Manazarci kan makomar karafa na kasar Sin Zhao Yi, ya yi imanin cewa, halin da ake ciki yanzu ya shiga cikin yanayin gurbataccen bukatu, wanda zai iya wuce tsakiyar da kuma karshen watan Afrilu, ko bukatar na iya cimma abin da ake tsammani, ko ma za ta iya wuce yadda ake tsammani, har yanzu ba a san ko wane lokaci ba.
Masana'antun ƙarfe suna gudana a farashi mafi girma
Kamfanin dillancin labaran iqna ya habarta cewa, ya nakalto daga shafin sadarwa na yanar gizo na HSBC cewa, yawan alkaluman GDP na kasar Sin a bana ya karu zuwa kashi 5.6 daga kashi 5 cikin 100, in ji jaridar Economic Times ta Hong Kong a ranar 17 ga watan Fabrairu, inda ta ce, kasar Sin na sake bude kofa fiye da yadda ake zato, kuma yawan bukatu na ayyuka da kayayyaki za su kai ga kai. zuwa farfadowa.Mafi munin annobar ta ƙare kuma ba za ta kasance mai jan hankali kan ayyukan tattalin arziki na kashi ɗaya cikin huɗu ba, yayin da yawan amfani da tanadi na iya ba da ƙarin haɓaka don hanzarta murmurewa da samun tattalin arzikin kan hanya, in ji rahoton HSBC.
A halin da ake ciki, kasar Sin za ta samu karuwar kashi 5.7 cikin 100 a bana, wanda zai zama babbar injin ci gaban duniya, a cewar KPMG.Bisa kididdigar da hukumar kididdiga ta kasar Sin ta bayar, an ce, yawan PMI da kasar Sin ta yi a watan Janairun shekarar 2023 ya kai kashi 50.1 bisa dari, wanda ya karu da kashi 3.1 bisa dari daga watan Disamba na shekarar 2022. PMI da ba ta samar da kayayyaki ba ya kai kashi 54.4 bisa dari, ya karu da kashi 12.8 bisa dari daga watan Disamba na shekarar 2022. Masana masana'antu sun bayyana cewa, ta hanyar kididdigar. Bayanan ofishin, tattalin arzikin yana murmurewa sosai.
“Babban ma’anar da ke shafar tsarin baƙar fata a nan gaba shi ne fara buƙatun ƙasa.A wani bincike da wata cibiya ta uku ta yi, ya zuwa ranar 14 ga Fabrairu, 2023, kamfanonin gine-gine na kasa sun fara komawa aiki da kashi 76.5% a wata-wata da maki 38.1.Wani mai sharhi kan karafa na kasar Sin Zhao Yi ya shaidawa wakilin kasar Sin Times.
Bayanai sun ce daga ranar 10 ga watan Fabrairu zuwa 17 ga watan Fabarairu, yawan aikin da masana’antun sarrafa karafa 247 na kasar ya kai kashi 79.54%, wanda ya karu da kashi 1.12 cikin dari a mako da kashi 9.96% a kowace shekara.Adadin yin amfani da ƙarfin ƙera tanderu ya kasance 85.75%, wanda ya karu da 0.82% idan aka kwatanta da watan da ya gabata da 10.31% idan aka kwatanta da bara.Ribar da aka samu na injinan karafa ya kai kashi 35.93%, ya ragu da kashi 2.60 bisa na watan da ya gabata da kuma kashi 45.02 bisa na shekarar da ta gabata.Matsakaicin adadin yau da kullun na narkakkar ƙarfe ya kasance tan 2,308,100, haɓakar tan 21,500 kwata-kwata da tan 278,800 duk shekara.Matsakaicin narkakken ƙarfe na yau da kullun ya murmure har tsawon makonni shida a jere, wanda ya karu da kashi 4.54% tun farkon shekara.Har ila yau, adadin hada-hadar kayayyakin gine-gine na kasa ya kwato daga tan 96,900 a ranar 10 ga Fabrairu zuwa tan 20,100 a ranar 20 ga Fabrairu.
A cewar Zhao Yi, daga bayanan da suka gabata, idan aka kwatanta da makwanni biyu na farko bayan bikin bazara, yawan sake dawo da harkokin kasuwanci na masana'antu bayan bikin fitilun a ranar 15 ga wata na farko ya karu sosai.Bukatar ta fara haɓaka ɓangaren baƙar fata, kuma ta haifar da farashin ƙarfe na gaba zuwa babban matsayi.
Duk da haka, wasu masu bincike sun ce duk da cewa farashin babban kwangilar takin ƙarfe na gaba ya ci gaba da hauhawa a wannan shekara, gaba ɗaya aikin farashinsa da karuwarsa yana da rauni fiye da Platts index, SGX da tashar tashar tashar jiragen ruwa, wanda ke nuna cewa farashin farashin. na kasuwar nan gaba ta kasar Sin har yanzu tana da karko idan aka kwatanta da farashin waje.A lokaci guda kuma, makomar baƙin ƙarfe na cikin gida yana ɗaukar tsarin isarwa ta jiki, kuma matakan kula da haɗarin haɗari suna da tsauri.Kasuwar tana tafiya cikin kwanciyar hankali da tsari.A mafi yawan lokuta, farashin gaba da karuwa sun yi ƙasa da ma'aunin Platts da abubuwan da aka samo asali na ƙasashen waje.
Don haɓakar ƙarfe na ƙarfe, Dalian Exchange kwanan nan ya ba da sanarwar gargadi game da haɗarin kasuwa: kwanan nan, tasirin kasuwancin kasuwa na abubuwan da ba su da tabbas, ƙarfe ƙarfe da sauran nau'ikan rashin daidaituwar farashin;Ana gayyatar duk ƙungiyoyin kasuwa don shiga cikin hankali da bin bin doka, hanawa da sarrafa haɗari, da tabbatar da ingantaccen aiki na kasuwa.Musayar za ta ci gaba da ƙarfafa kulawar yau da kullun, yin bincike sosai da hukunta kowane irin keta, da kiyaye tsarin kasuwa.
Tare da hauhawar farashin ma'adinan ƙarfe, shin zai yiwu an sami wuce gona da iri na kayan aikin ƙarfe a tashar jiragen ruwa?Yaya yanayin jigilar tama a tashar jiragen ruwa yake?A martanin da ya mayar, Qiu Yihong ya shaidawa jaridar China Times cewa, masana'antun sarrafa ma'adinai a tashar jiragen ruwa 45 sun karu zuwa tan 141,107,200 a karshen makon da ya gabata, wanda ya karu da ton 1,004,400 a mako-mako, sannan ya ragu da tan 19,233,300 a duk shekara. shekara.Yawan kwanakin da ke ƙarƙashin tashar jiragen ruwa ya ci gaba da raunana, ya fadi zuwa mafi ƙasƙanci a cikin lokaci guda.Dangane da nau'ikan ma'adinai, haƙƙin ma'adinai mai kyau yana ƙasa da matsakaicin matsakaicin lokaci guda.Makon da ya gabata, jarin dunƙule tama da pellet ya tashi sosai a fili.Hannun tama mai dunƙulewa da tama na pellet sun kasance a matakin mafi girma na lokaci guda, kuma haƙƙin ƙarfe na ƙarfe na ƙarfe yana da ƙarfi a babban matakin lokaci guda.
"Daga tushen ra'ayi, babban karuwar makon da ya gabata Australia da Brazil ne ke ba da gudummawar, ya zuwa yanzu a wannan shekara mafi kyawun yanayin hawan motsi, amma har yanzu akwai babban gibi idan aka kwatanta da bara, makon da ya gabata ma'adinan Australiya da na Brazil. kaya asali barga yi, Ostiraliya mine ne har yanzu a low matakin na lokaci guda, kaya matsa lamba ne in mun gwada da haske, high quality Brazil mine kaya har yanzu barga a babban matakin na wannan lokaci, amma kuma nisa kasa fiye da wannan lokaci na shekaran da ya gabata." in ji Qiu Yihong.
Ya shiga lokacin neman karya
Menene gaba na farashin tama na ƙarfe?Qiu Yihong ya shaidawa jaridar China Times cewa, "A mahangarmu, akwai muhimman abubuwa guda biyu da za su shafi farashin karafa a nan gaba."'Daya shine dawo da buƙatun, ɗayan kuma shine ka'idojin siyasa.'Buƙatun ƙarfe na ƙarfe har yanzu yana dogara da daidaitawar riba.Ribar ribar masana’antun karafa 247 ya karu tsawon shekaru biyar a jere a bana, inda ya farfado daga kashi 19.91 zuwa kololuwar kashi 38.53, amma ya koma kashi 35.93 cikin dari a makon da ya gabata.
“Wannan idan aka kwatanta da gibin da aka samu a shekarun baya yana da yawa sosai, ya kuma nuna cewa har yanzu tsarin dawo da ribar karafa na cike da wasu matsaloli na sarkakiya, aikin dawo da shi yana da wahala a samu cikin dare daya, kuma daga karfen da ake shigo da ma’adinan da ake samu daga waje. Kwanaki na ƙarancin yanayi na tarihi, ribar masana'antar karafa koyaushe tana shawagi a kan fa'ida da asara, kuma wannan har yanzu yana shafar haɓakar injin niƙa, haɓakar ƙarar har yanzu yana sannu a hankali."Qiu Yihong ya ce.
Bayanai sun nuna cewa masana’antun karafa 247 da ake shigo da su a halin yanzu sun shigo da takin taman da ya kai tan miliyan 92.371, adadin ajiyar da ake amfani da shi na kwanaki 32.67, yayin da masana’antun karafa 64 suka shigo da matsakaitan kwanakin kwanaki 18 kacal, sun kasance a cikin tarihin da ba shi da inganci. Haɗin kayan albarkatun ƙarfe ya zama mafi girman yuwuwar haɓaka buƙatun ƙarfe bayan an dawo da samarwa.

Qiu Yihong ya ce, daga makon da ya gabata ana iya tabbatar da samar da karafa da kuma bayanan kididdiga.A daya hannun, da overall dawo da dogon tsari samar da shi ne mafi bayyananne alamun toshewa, da samar da rebar a cikin dogon tsari m bai karu sosai ba, da kuma dawo da rebar samar bayan Spring Festival ne m gudumawa ta hanyar resumption na samarwa. a takaice tsari.A gefe guda kuma, tarin matsi na masana'antar karafa yana kan matakin sama, don haka za a fuskanci kalubale na sake dawo da samar da kayayyaki cikin dogon lokaci.Bugu da kari, guntu har yanzu yana cikin ragi ga farashin narkakkar ƙarfe, fa'idar aikin kuɗin da ake amfani da shi kuma zai zama ƙayyadaddun ƙayyadaddun buƙatun ƙarfe, don haka ana sa ran dawo da buƙatun buƙatun ƙarfe. a cikin matsin lamba, wanda kuma shine babban abin da ke shafar farashin ma'adinan ƙarfe na gaba.

Bayanan sun kuma nuna cewa a cikin mako na 16 ga Fabrairu, masu sintiri 64 da Mysteel ya kirga suna da kwanaki 18, wanda bai canza ba daga makon da ya gabata kuma ya ragu kwanaki 13 a shekara.“A cikin gajeren lokaci zuwa matsakaicin lokaci, wadata da buƙatun tama na ƙarfe na karuwa.Bangaren samar da kayayyaki, har yanzu shine jigilar ma'adinan na yau da kullun a ƙarshen kakar, an nuna ƙarancin wadatar, nan gaba na iya ɗauka.A bangaren bukatu, yanayin samarwa da sake dawo da ayyukan masana'antu na kasa bayan bikin bazara ya kasance ba canzawa.Ainihin gwajin shine ko gaskiyar zata iya cika abin da ake tsammani."Qiu Yihong ya ce.

Ya kamata a lura da cewa, Zhao Yi ya shaidawa jaridar China Times cewa, watan Janairu ya kasance lokacin rashin karfin bukata, amma tama da karafa na kara kuzari, wanda hakan ya biyo bayan kyakkyawan fata da aka samu bayan hutun bikin bazara.A halin yanzu, ya shiga lokacin neman karya, wanda zai iya wucewa har zuwa tsakiyar Afrilu.Bayan dawo da samarwa da aiki bayan hutu, har yanzu ba a sani ba ko bukatar a watan Maris da Afrilu na iya biyan ko ma wuce yadda ake tsammani.

Daidaitawa da tsammanin da gaskiya zai zama mabuɗin don rinjayar sarkar masana'antar baki a nan gaba.Zhao Yi ya ce, a cikin farashin karafa a nan gaba ya hada da kyakkyawan fata, idan ana son ci gaba da samun bunkasuwar tattalin arziki, akwai bukatar sake farfado da tasha mai inganci don tabbatarwa;In ba haka ba, farashin baƙin ƙarfe na gaba yana fuskantar matsin lamba.

"Farashin ma'adinan ƙarfe na gaba na iya yin sabon haɓaka a cikin ɗan gajeren lokaci.Idan aka yi la'akari da tsawon lokaci, ribar masana'antar karafa ba ta da yawa, yanayin masana'antar kadarorin ƙasa bai canza ba, makomar baƙin ƙarfe ba ta da yanayin ci gaba da tashi a cikin yanayin rashin tabbas."Zhao Yi ya ce.